A simple statistical physics model for the epidemic with incubation period

نویسندگان

چکیده

Based on the classical SIR model, we derive a simple modification for dynamics of epidemics with known incubation period infection. The model is described by system integro-differential equations. Parameters our directly related to epidemiological data. We some analytical results, as well perform numerical simulations. use proposed analyze COVID-19 epidemic data in Armenia. propose strategy: organize quarantine, and then conduct extensive testing risk groups during evaluating percentage population among people symptoms.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Chinese Journal of Physics

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['0577-9073', '2309-9097']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cjph.2021.07.007